By Hans Johnson and Marisol Cuellar Mejia, Public Policy Institute of California, May 29, 2020
The COVID-19 recession has already led to much larger declines in employment than occurred throughout the Great Recession, and jobs have been lost much more quickly. As with past recessions, less-educated workers are bearing the brunt of these declines.
Nationwide, almost 20 million workers lost jobs between February and April this year (among adults age 25 and over). Employment declined by about 7 million over a much longer period during the Great Recession. So far, less-educated workers—those without bachelor’s or graduate degrees—have accounted for 80% of all employment declines in the pandemic recession.
Workers with degrees also tend to do better during economic recoveries. After the Great Recession, employment growth among educated workers was robust, but employment among less-educated workers never fully recovered. Employment among college graduates is much higher today (by about 11 million) than at the economic peak prior to the Great Recession. In contrast, employment among less-educated workers is now dramatically lower (by 20 million) than it was at the pre-recession peak.
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